Data from: Diminished efficacy of regional marine cloud brightening in a warmer world
MBC seeding mask
Subtropical
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Description | Subtropical Pacific seeding mask, 2% ocean area, rank by liquid cloud amount from CESM Large Ensemble 2 (LENS2) 2000-2009 climatology, Mar-Nov seeding. Forcing is imposed repeatedly each model year according to this MCB mask for the subtropical MCB simulations. |
Mid-latitude
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Description | Mid-latitude Pacific seeding mask, 2% ocean area, rank by liquid cloud amount from CESM Large Ensemble 2 (LENS2) 2000-2009 climatology, Mar-Nov seeding. Forcing is imposed repeatedly each model year according to this MCB mask for the mid-latitude MCB simulations. |
2050 monthly atmospheric (simulation years 56-85)
Control (no MCB)
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Description | Control (no MCB) case, 2050 cyclical emissions, monthly atmospheric variables, simulation years 56-85 |
Subtropical (MCB)
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Description | Subtropical MCB case, 2050 cyclical emissions, monthly atmospheric variables, simulation years 56-85 |
Mid-latitude (MCB)
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Description | Mid-latitude MCB case, 2050 cyclical emissions, monthly atmospheric variables, simulation years 56-85 |
2010 monthly atmospheric (simulation years 56-85)
Control (no MCB)
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Description | Control (no MCB) case, 2010 cyclical emissions, monthly atmospheric variables, simulation years 56-85 |
Subtropical (MCB)
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Description | Subtropical MCB case, 2010 cyclical emissions, monthly atmospheric variables, simulation years 56-85 |
Mid-latitude (MCB)
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Description | Mid-latitude MCB case, 2010 cyclical emissions, daily atmospheric variables, simulation years 56-85 |
2050 daily atmospheric (simulation years 56-85)
Control (no MCB)
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Description | Control (no MCB) case, 2050 cyclical emissions, daily atmospheric variables, simulation years 56-85 |
Subtropical (MCB)
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Description | Subtropical MCB case, 2050 cyclical emissions, daily atmospheric variables, simulation years 56-85 |
Mid-latitude (MCB)
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Description | Mid-latitude MCB case, 2050 cyclical emissions, daily atmospheric variables, simulation years 56-85 |
2010 daily atmospheric (simulation years 56-85)
Control (no MCB)
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Description | Control (no MCB) case, 2010 cyclical emissions, daily atmospheric variables, simulation years 56-85 |
Subtropical (MCB)
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Description | Subtropical MCB case, 2010 cyclical emissions, daily atmospheric variables, simulation years 56-85 |
Mid-latitude (MCB)
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Description | Mid-latitude MCB case, 2010 cyclical emissions, daily atmospheric variables, simulation years 56-85 |
2050 monthly ocean (simulation years 56-85)
Control (no MCB
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Description | Control (no MCB) case, 2050 cyclical emissions, monthly ocean variables, simulation years 56-85 |
Subtropical (MCB)
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Description | Subtropical MCB case, 2050 cyclical emissions, monthly ocean variables, simulation years 56-85 |
Mid-latitude (MCB)
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Description | Mid-latitude MCB case, 2050 cyclical emissions, monthly ocean variables, simulation years 56-85 |
2010 monthly ocean (simulation years 56-85)
Control (no MCB)
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Description | Control (no MCB) case, 2010 cyclical emissions, monthly ocean variables, simulation years 56-85 |
Subtropical (MCB)
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Description | Subtropical MCB case, 2010 cyclical emissions, monthly ocean variables, simulation years 56-85 |
Mid-latitude (MCB)
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Description | Mid-latitude MCB case, 2010 cyclical emissions, monthly ocean variables, simulation years 56-85 |
2050 monthly atmospheric transient (simulation years 55-85; MCB starts after 55 years of control branch spin up)
Control (no MCB)
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Description | Control (no MCB) case, 2050 cyclical emissions, monthly atmospheric variables, simulation years 55-58 |
Subtropical (MCB)
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Description | Subtropical MCB case, 2050 cyclical emissions, monthly atmospheric variables, simulation years 55-58, MCB starts after 55 years of control branch spin up |
Mid-latitude (MCB)
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Description | Mid-latitude MCB case, 2050 cyclical emissions, monthly atmospheric variables, simulation years 55-58, MCB starts after 55 years of control branch spin up |
2010 monthly atmospheric (simulation years 1-4)
Control (no MCB)
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Description | Control (no MCB) case, 2010 cyclical emissions, monthly atmospheric variables, simulation years 1-4 |
Subtropical (MCB)
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Description | Subtropical MCB case, 2010 cyclical emissions, monthly atmospheric variables, simulation years 1-4 |
Mid-latitude (MCB)
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Description | Mid-latitude MCB case, 2010 cyclical emissions, monthly atmospheric variables, simulation years 1-4 |
2050 monthly TREFHT (simulation years 1-85)
Control (no MCB)
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Description | Control (no MCB) case, 2050 cyclical emissions, monthly reference height (2 m) temperature (TREFHT), simulation years 1-85 |
Subtropical (MCB)
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Description | Subtropical MCB case, 2050 cyclical emissions, monthly reference height (2 m) temperature (TREFHT), simulation years 1-85 |
Mid-latitude (MCB)
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Description | Mid-latitude MCB case, 2050 cyclical emissions, monthly reference height (2 m) temperature (TREFHT), simulation years 1-85 |
2010 monthly TREFHT (simulation years 1-85)
Control (no MCB)
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Description | Control (no MCB) case, 2010 cyclical emissions, monthly reference height (2 m) temperature (TREFHT), simulation years 1-85 |
Subtropical (MCB)
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Description | Subtropical MCB case, 2010 cyclical emissions, monthly reference height (2 m) temperature (TREFHT), simulation years 1-85 |
Mid-latitude (MCB)
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Description | Mid-latitude MCB case, 2010 cyclical emissions, monthly reference height (2 m) temperature (TREFHT), simulation years 1-85 |
- Collection
- Cite This Work
-
Wan, Jessica S.; Chen, Chih-Chieh-Jack; Tilmes, Simone; Luongo, Matthew T.; Richter, Jadwiga H.; Ricke, Katharine (2024). Data from: Diminished efficacy of regional marine cloud brightening in a warmer world. UC San Diego Library Digital Collections. https://doi.org/10.6075/J0WW7HW0
- Description
-
Marine cloud brightening (MCB) is a geoengineering proposal to cool atmospheric temperatures and reduce climate change impacts. As large-scale approaches to stabilize global mean temperatures pose governance challenges, regional interventions may be more attractive near term. Here, we investigate the efficacy of regional MCB in the North Pacific to mitigate extreme heat in the Western U.S. Under present-day conditions, we find MCB in the remote mid-latitudes or proximate subtropics reduces the relative risk of dangerous summer heat exposure by 55% and 16%, respectively. However, the same interventions under mid-century warming minimally reduce or even increase heat stress in the Western U.S. and across the world. This loss of efficacy may arise from a state-dependent response of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to both anthropogenic warming and regional MCB. Our result demonstrates a risk in assuming that interventions effective under certain conditions will remain effective as the climate continues to change.
- Creation Date
- 2022-04 to 2023-12
- Date Issued
- 2024
- Authors
- Advisor
- Technical Details
-
Model output generated using the Community Earth System Model (CESM) version 2.2: National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, CO, USA.
Data analysis conducted using Python version 3.8.2.
Required libraries to run Python code can be reproduced from the conda environment file: https://github.com/j4wan/wna-regional-mcb/blob/4ba41843fb508a0c30c2c8e53597539c932b7892/ncar-ecip-env.txt - Funding
-
National Center for Atmospheric Research Early Career Faculty Innovator Program Cooperative Agreement Number 1755088
National Defense Science and Engineering Graduate Fellowship Program. - Geographics
- Topics
Formats
View formats within this collection
- Language
- English
- Identifier
-
Identifier: Chih-Chieh-Jack Chen: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4819-2510
Identifier: Jadwiga H. Richter: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7048-0781
Identifier: Jessica S. Wan: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3757-6436
Identifier: Katharine Ricke: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2780-7213
Identifier: Matthew T. Luongo: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2996-7579
Identifier: Simone Tilmes: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6557-3569
- Related Resources
- Wan, J.S., Chen, CC.J., Tilmes, S. et al. Diminished efficacy of regional marine cloud brightening in a warmer world. Nat. Clim. Chang. (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02046-7
- Center for International Earth Science Information Network - CIESIN - Columbia University. (2018): Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Count, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Accessed 21 October 2022. https://doi.org/10.7927/H4JW8BX5
- Gao, J. (2020): Global 1-km Downscaled Population Base Year and Projection Grids Based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, Revision 01. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Accessed 4 January 2023. https://doi.org/10.7927/q7z9-9r69
- Hersbach, H., Bell, B., Berrisford, P., Biavati, G., Horányi, A., Muñoz Sabater, J., Nicolas, J., Peubey, C., Radu, R., Rozum, I., Schepers, D., Simmons, A., Soci, C., Dee, D., Thépaut, J-N. (2023): ERA5 monthly averaged data on single levels from 1940 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). Accessed on 20 March 2023. https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.f17050d7
- W. B. Rossow, A. Walker, V. Golea, K. R. Knapp, A. Young, A. Inamdar, B. Hankins, NOAA’s Climate Data Record Program, Climate Data Record Program (2016): International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project Climate Data Record, H-Series Basic HGM. NOAA Natl. Cent. Environ. Inf. Accessed 24 March 2023. https://doi.org/10.7289/V5QZ281S
- NCAR Community Earth System Model (CESM): https://www.cesm.ucar.edu/models/cesm2
- Wan, J. (2024). Code from: Diminished efficacy of regional marine cloud brightening in a warmer world (v1.0.0). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11193761
- Wan, Jessica S.; Chen, Chih-Chieh-Jack; Tilmes, Simone; Luongo, Matthew T.; Richter, Jadwiga H.; Ricke, Katharine. (2023). Data from: Unexpected failure of regional marine cloud brightening in a warmer world. UC San Diego Library Digital Collections. https://doi.org/10.6075/J0HQ4036
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Source data
Software
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- License
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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International Public License
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- UC Regents
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Under copyright (US)
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Research Data Curation Program, UC San Diego, La Jolla, 92093-0175 (https://lib.ucsd.edu/rdcp)
- Last Modified
2024-07-11